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Qual 642016 Midwest Regional
Red112
173647.5
306131.5
348827.7
Blue98
335226.2
175643.1
213618.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11279406010012014016018011298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1736
#1
47.50.6
47.6→48.2
Auto14.8
Teleop23.7
End8.9
red by 4.4
1756
#14
43.11.1
42.5→43.6
Auto11.4
Teleop27.0
End4.8
Second
3061
#6
31.50.6
32.7→33.3
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End4.2
red by 5.4
3352
#37
26.21.1
24.3→25.4
Auto4.0
Teleop17.0
End5.2
Third
3488
#12
27.70.9
23.3→24.2
Auto4.7
Teleop17.2
End5.8
red by 9.4
2136
#48
18.31.7
15.0→16.7
Auto2.6
Teleop13.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed