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Qual 692016 Midwest Regional
Red140
11144.5
270918.0
37943.4
Blue88
512515.2
419123.4
414343.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104722040608012014016014088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#2
44.52.9
40.3→43.2
Auto10.4
Teleop29.3
End4.8
red by 1.4
4143
#5
43.10.9
41.5→42.3
Auto12.6
Teleop25.0
End5.5
Second
379
#18
43.42.9
41.5→44.4
Auto8.8
Teleop24.0
End10.5
red by 20.0
4191
#36
23.41.4
19.5→20.9
Auto6.4
Teleop13.8
End3.2
Third
2709
#35
18.02.9
14.2→17.1
Auto4.8
Teleop12.0
End1.2
red by 2.8
5125
#40
15.21.4
13.7→15.1
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed