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Qual 712016 Midwest Regional
Red101
17131.1
424132.1
203927.6
Blue57
470211.1
270420.2
306131.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions956520408012014016010157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4241
#15
32.10.5
31.4→31.9
Auto9.7
Teleop16.4
End6.0
red by 0.5
3061
#6
31.50.7
33.3→32.6
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End4.2
Second
171
#29
31.10.5
30.1→30.6
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End5.7
red by 10.8
2704
#22
20.20.7
23.3→22.5
Auto2.8
Teleop14.6
End2.8
Third
2039
#13
27.60.5
26.7→27.2
Auto4.3
Teleop20.2
End3.0
red by 16.5
4702
#51
11.11.0
11.3→10.3
Auto2.2
Teleop6.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed