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Qual 762016 Midwest Regional
Red92
623723.7
582228.0
185015.6
Blue54
31109.5
464529.4
535014.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7557020401001201409254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5822
#21
28.00.5
28.3→28.7
Auto8.8
Teleop14.5
End4.7
blue by 1.4
4645
#33
29.40.3
30.9→30.7
Auto7.7
Teleop15.2
End6.4
Second
6237
#26
23.70.7
23.6→24.3
Auto6.6
Teleop13.3
End3.8
red by 8.8
5350
#49
14.90.4
14.0→13.6
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End1.3
Third
1850
#47
15.60.7
18.1→18.7
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End2.6
red by 6.1
3110
#52
9.50.4
13.0→12.6
Auto1.2
Teleop6.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned29%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed