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Qual 792016 Midwest Regional
Red97
339020.1
584731.3
93129.4
Blue64
429220.8
470211.1
335226.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions865102040601001201409764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5847
#10
31.30.9
31.3→32.2
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End4.3
red by 5.2
3352
#37
26.20.6
24.7→25.3
Auto4.0
Teleop17.0
End5.2
Second
931
#17
29.40.9
28.5→29.4
Auto8.3
Teleop16.7
End4.4
red by 8.6
4292
#30
20.80.8
20.0→20.8
Auto5.5
Teleop11.6
End3.6
Third
3390
#34
20.11.2
18.9→20.1
Auto7.5
Teleop9.3
End3.2
red by 9.0
4702
#51
11.10.8
10.3→11.1
Auto2.2
Teleop6.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned46%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed