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Red85
37943.4
467613.7
432929.1
Blue75
369528.4
535014.9
173921.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions975601508575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#18
43.40.2
44.944.8
Auto8.8
Teleop24.0
End10.5
red by 15.0
3695
#25
28.41.3
27.128.4
Auto5.5
Teleop18.5
End4.3
Second
29.10.2
29.028.8
Auto10.2
Teleop14.7
End4.2
red by 8.1
1739
#31
21.01.0
20.021.0
Auto5.9
Teleop11.3
End3.8
Third
4676
#43
13.70.3
14.013.7
Auto1.6
Teleop9.9
End2.2
blue by 1.1
5350
#49
14.91.3
13.614.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned60%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed