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Semifinal 1-22016 Midwest Regional
Red158
245147.6
173647.5
335226.2
Blue121
206240.2
162542.1
582228.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151145100120160180200220158121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#4
47.60.3
47.1→46.8
Auto14.8
Teleop26.3
End6.6
red by 5.5
1625
#7
42.10.2
42.5→42.3
Auto13.0
Teleop22.7
End6.4
Second
1736
#1
47.50.3
46.9→46.7
Auto14.8
Teleop23.7
End8.9
red by 7.3
2062
#8
40.20.2
40.5→40.3
Auto10.3
Teleop24.6
End5.2
Third
3352
#37
26.20.3
25.6→25.3
Auto4.0
Teleop17.0
End5.2
blue by 1.8
5822
#21
28.00.2
28.4→28.1
Auto8.8
Teleop14.5
End4.7