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Qual 12016 Central Illinois Regional
Red55
421327.5
202222.3
208136.5
Blue72
414337.5
9328.2
465523.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7378506070901005572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2081
#8
36.51.3
29.7→28.4
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End10.3
blue by 1.0
4143
#9
37.52.0
28.0→26.0
Auto12.5
Teleop21.7
End3.4
Second
4213
#20
27.51.8
23.4→21.6
Auto9.5
Teleop11.6
End6.4
blue by 0.7
93
#10
28.21.7
23.0→21.3
Auto7.1
Teleop16.9
End4.2
Third
2022
#17
22.31.8
18.2→16.4
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End4.1
blue by 0.8
4655
#33
23.12.0
23.9→21.9
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsMissed43%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed