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Qual 152016 Central Illinois Regional
Red45
421225.2
335223.3
431418.3
Blue113
584729.2
162539.2
175638.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions618920408010012014045113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4212
#18Sur
25.22.0
25.4→23.4
Auto9.1
Teleop12.3
End3.7
blue by 14.0
1625
#4
39.23.5
28.9→32.3
Auto12.3
Teleop22.0
End4.9
Second
3352
#27
23.32.0
21.4→19.3
Auto1.8
Teleop16.9
End4.5
blue by 15.5
1756
#3
38.73.5
35.4→38.8
Auto11.7
Teleop22.1
End4.9
Third
4314
#29
18.32.0
16.5→14.5
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 10.9
5847
#11Sur
29.23.5
17.7→21.2
Auto7.3
Teleop18.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsMissed75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned