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Qual 182016 Central Illinois Regional
Red107
87644.5
421327.5
173228.5
Blue58
352831.7
478715.2
178123.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8957020408010012014010758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#16
44.51.8
40.0→41.8
Auto7.5
Teleop27.6
End9.5
red by 12.8
3528
#7
31.70.1
28.4→28.2
Auto10.0
Teleop17.0
End4.7
Second
1732
#26
28.52.2
19.6→21.8
Auto7.4
Teleop16.0
End5.0
red by 4.7
1781
#21
23.80.2
16.9→16.7
Auto4.8
Teleop17.5
End1.4
Third
4213
#20
27.52.2
22.4→24.6
Auto9.5
Teleop11.6
End6.4
red by 12.3
4787
#40
15.20.2
14.8→14.6
Auto0.9
Teleop13.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned44%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed