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Qual 282016 Central Illinois Regional
Red102
464523.1
431418.3
414337.5
Blue94
421225.2
87644.5
204024.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6191020408010012014010294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#9
37.53.7
29.2→33.0
Auto12.5
Teleop21.7
End3.4
blue by 7.0
876
#16
44.50.8
38.8→39.6
Auto7.5
Teleop27.6
End9.5
Second
4645
#23
23.13.7
17.9→21.6
Auto7.7
Teleop11.4
End4.0
blue by 2.1
4212
#18
25.21.1
22.9→24.0
Auto9.1
Teleop12.3
End3.7
Third
4314
#29
18.33.7
16.3→20.0
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 6.0
2040
#22
24.21.1
22.0→23.1
Auto9.6
Teleop10.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed