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Red104
429626.8
421327.5
352831.7
Blue90
11132.6
162539.2
203918.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728640608010012014010490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.71.4
30.131.5
Auto10.0
Teleop17.0
End4.7
blue by 7.5
39.20.9
36.837.7
Auto12.3
Teleop22.0
End4.9
Second
4213
#20
27.52.4
23.626.0
Auto9.5
Teleop11.6
End6.4
blue by 5.1
111
#24
32.60.9
25.826.7
Auto9.4
Teleop19.9
End3.2
Third
4296
#13
26.82.4
18.821.1
Auto7.6
Teleop13.7
End5.5
red by 8.3
2039
#34
18.50.9
19.220.1
Auto2.8
Teleop13.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed