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Red67
204024.2
465523.1
335223.3
Blue87
103819.8
173228.5
402129.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions687402040601001201406787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2040
#22
24.20.0
23.123.1
Auto9.6
Teleop10.5
End4.1
blue by 5.5
29.81.8
26.428.1
Auto8.2
Teleop15.2
End6.4
Second
3352
#27
23.30.0
19.819.8
Auto1.8
Teleop16.9
End4.5
blue by 5.2
1732
#26
28.51.8
22.924.7
Auto7.4
Teleop16.0
End5.0
Third
4655
#33
23.10.0
24.124.1
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End3.2
red by 3.3
1038
#31
19.81.8
21.823.6
Auto1.2
Teleop17.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed