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Qual 472016 Central Illinois Regional
Red82
9328.2
222024.8
178123.8
Blue85
162539.2
352831.7
270910.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638702040801001201408285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#10
28.21.2
24.7→25.9
Auto7.1
Teleop16.9
End4.2
blue by 11.0
1625
#4
39.20.7
37.7→37.0
Auto12.3
Teleop22.0
End4.9
Second
2220
#28
24.81.9
20.0→21.9
Auto9.4
Teleop12.6
End2.8
blue by 6.9
3528
#7
31.70.4
31.5→31.1
Auto10.0
Teleop17.0
End4.7
Third
1781
#21
23.81.8
19.9→21.7
Auto4.8
Teleop17.5
End1.4
red by 13.6
2709
#39
10.10.6
11.9→11.3
Auto2.4
Teleop7.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed