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Red74
414337.5
544229.8
55419.5
Blue87
109434.7
464523.1
11132.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7992501502007487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.50.5
38.538.0
Auto12.5
Teleop21.7
End3.4
red by 2.8
1094
#14
34.70.0
37.037.0
Auto10.8
Teleop13.8
End10.1
Second
5442
#15
29.80.5
25.925.4
Auto7.4
Teleop20.2
End2.2
blue by 2.8
111
#24
32.60.0
29.028.9
Auto9.4
Teleop19.9
End3.2
Third
5541
#38
9.50.5
14.614.1
Auto1.2
Teleop8.8
End-0.4
blue by 13.6
4645
#23
23.10.0
21.421.3
Auto7.7
Teleop11.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsMissed76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed