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Red97
173636.4
478715.2
208136.5
Blue137
248153.1
162539.2
178123.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80114406010014016097137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.50.9
35.136.0
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End10.3
blue by 16.6
53.13.0
46.349.3
Auto16.1
Teleop29.0
End8.1
Second
36.41.3
34.135.4
Auto12.9
Teleop17.6
End5.9
blue by 2.8
39.23.0
37.840.8
Auto12.3
Teleop22.0
End4.9
Third
4787
#40
15.21.3
14.015.4
Auto0.9
Teleop13.2
End1.1
blue by 8.5
1781
#21
23.83.0
21.724.7
Auto4.8
Teleop17.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsEarned