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Red68
103819.8
175638.7
582223.9
Blue39
55419.5
109120.8
178123.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions725602040801001201406839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.70.0
31.431.4
Auto11.7
Teleop22.1
End4.9
red by 15.0
1781
#21
23.82.0
20.818.8
Auto4.8
Teleop17.5
End1.4
Second
5822
#19
23.911.8
27.515.7
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End2.9
red by 3.1
1091
#37
20.82.0
18.316.3
Auto4.7
Teleop12.4
End3.7
Third
1038
#31
19.80.0
20.720.8
Auto1.2
Teleop17.6
End1.0
red by 10.3
5541
#38
9.52.0
17.915.9
Auto1.2
Teleop8.8
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed