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Red109
87644.5
464523.1
584729.2
Blue89
173636.4
465523.1
103819.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9878406012014016010989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#16
44.51.1
42.343.4
Auto7.5
Teleop27.6
End9.5
red by 8.1
36.40.5
35.435.9
Auto12.9
Teleop17.6
End5.9
Second
5847
#11
29.21.5
27.929.4
Auto7.3
Teleop18.5
End3.4
red by 6.1
4655
#33
23.10.5
23.724.2
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End3.2
Third
4645
#23
23.11.5
22.323.7
Auto7.7
Teleop11.4
End4.0
red by 3.3
1038
#31
19.80.5
19.319.8
Auto1.2
Teleop17.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed