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Red95
414337.5
178123.8
216928.8
Blue42
109120.8
431418.3
235823.1
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104662040801201401609542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.50.9
39.939.0
Auto12.5
Teleop21.7
End3.4
red by 14.4
2358
#32
23.12.4
25.623.1
Auto8.2
Teleop13.1
End1.8
Second
2169
#12
28.80.9
30.930.0
Auto8.3
Teleop18.1
End2.4
red by 8.1
1091
#37
20.82.4
23.220.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.4
End3.7
Third
1781
#21
23.80.9
24.723.8
Auto4.8
Teleop17.5
End1.4
red by 5.5
4314
#29
18.32.4
20.718.3
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsMissed50%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed