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Red64
431418.3
352831.7
103819.8
Blue85
465523.1
208136.5
429626.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6870506080906485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.70.1
28.528.4
Auto10.0
Teleop17.0
End4.7
blue by 4.8
36.51.3
28.429.7
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End10.3
Second
1038
#31
19.80.2
20.820.5
Auto1.2
Teleop17.6
End1.0
blue by 7.0
4296
#13
26.81.9
17.419.3
Auto7.6
Teleop13.7
End5.5
Third
4314
#29
18.30.2
16.716.5
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 4.8
4655
#33
23.11.9
21.923.8
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
67%Breach oddsEarned57%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed