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Red182
13548.5
4535.9
355931.7
Blue169
172036.7
217134.9
29238.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159156130140150170180182169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#14
48.50.0
49.549.4
Auto10.8
Teleop28.7
End9.0
red by 9.6
292
#13
38.80.2
39.139.3
Auto11.8
Teleop21.5
End5.6
Second
45
#4
35.90.0
36.936.9
Auto8.7
Teleop23.4
End3.8
blue by 0.8
1720
#22
36.70.2
37.037.1
Auto7.5
Teleop24.1
End5.1
Third
3559
#25
31.70.0
32.832.7
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End4.1
blue by 3.2
34.90.2
35.235.3
Auto8.5
Teleop21.1
End5.4