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Red128
13548.5
217134.9
82928.4
Blue113
23445.1
540337.6
314734.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103115406080140160128113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#14
48.51.8
43.745.4
Auto10.8
Teleop28.7
End9.0
red by 3.4
234
#15
45.10.2
44.144.3
Auto14.1
Teleop24.8
End6.2
Second
34.91.8
33.435.2
Auto8.5
Teleop21.1
End5.4
blue by 2.6
5403
#24
37.60.2
35.035.2
Auto9.5
Teleop23.4
End4.7
Third
829
#19
28.41.8
24.626.4
Auto5.8
Teleop18.0
End4.6
blue by 6.0
3147
#16
34.40.2
31.131.3
Auto8.0
Teleop15.1
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
40%Capture oddsEarned21%Capture oddsEarned