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Qual 22016 Indiana State Championship
Red115
46140.8
86845.8
174741.8
Blue100
82928.4
152936.8
102452.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291146080100120140160180115100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#3
45.80.5
47.0→46.5
Auto15.0
Teleop27.6
End3.2
blue by 6.9
1024
#6
52.80.8
52.1→51.3
Auto11.5
Teleop36.1
End5.1
Second
1747
#7
41.80.5
43.3→42.7
Auto14.1
Teleop23.4
End4.3
red by 5.0
1529
#17
36.80.8
35.3→34.5
Auto9.7
Teleop22.4
End4.7
Third
461
#8
40.80.5
32.4→31.9
Auto9.1
Teleop26.9
End4.8
red by 12.4
829
#19
28.40.8
25.1→24.3
Auto5.8
Teleop18.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
77%Capture oddsEarned77%Capture oddsEarned