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Red110
174741.8
152936.8
172036.7
Blue126
548432.3
23445.1
217134.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12211750100150200110126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.5
44.443.8
Auto14.1
Teleop23.4
End4.3
blue by 3.3
234
#15
45.10.4
44.945.3
Auto14.1
Teleop24.8
End6.2
Second
1529
#17
36.80.5
36.736.1
Auto9.7
Teleop22.4
End4.7
red by 1.9
34.90.4
35.335.7
Auto8.5
Teleop21.1
End5.4
Third
1720
#22
36.70.5
37.136.6
Auto7.5
Teleop24.1
End5.1
red by 4.4
5484
#18
32.30.4
34.635.1
Auto7.8
Teleop21.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
92%Capture oddsMissed17%Capture oddsMissed