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Red116
219734.6
594431.4
498241.1
Blue143
458032.4
44738.3
13548.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106112050150200250300116143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4982
#12
41.10.8
42.443.3
Auto10.5
Teleop25.8
End4.8
blue by 7.3
135
#14
48.52.0
45.547.6
Auto10.8
Teleop28.7
End9.0
Second
2197
#11
34.60.8
30.531.3
Auto4.8
Teleop17.6
End12.1
blue by 3.7
447
#23
38.32.0
32.634.7
Auto10.7
Teleop23.0
End4.5
Third
5944
#29
31.40.8
30.631.5
Auto7.8
Teleop18.0
End5.5
blue by 1.1
4580
#20
32.42.0
29.431.4
Auto9.1
Teleop19.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
38%Capture oddsEarned25%Capture oddsEarned