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Red126
101827.9
458032.4
410349.9
Blue145
174741.8
29238.8
82928.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11011090100120130140126145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.91.4
43.244.5
Auto10.7
Teleop28.4
End10.8
red by 8.1
41.81.8
43.845.6
Auto14.1
Teleop23.4
End4.3
Second
4580
#20
32.41.4
31.432.8
Auto9.1
Teleop19.0
End4.3
blue by 6.4
292
#13
38.81.8
35.737.5
Auto11.8
Teleop21.5
End5.6
Third
1018
#21
27.91.4
30.932.3
Auto7.3
Teleop16.8
End3.9
blue by 0.5
829
#19
28.41.8
28.630.4
Auto5.8
Teleop18.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
59%Capture oddsEarned94%Capture oddsEarned