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Red137
150152.9
601229.8
355931.7
Blue136
29238.8
86845.8
152936.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151336080100140160180200137136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.91.2
54.856.0
Auto16.9
Teleop26.4
End9.6
red by 7.1
868
#3
45.80.6
52.152.8
Auto15.0
Teleop27.6
End3.2
Second
3559
#25
31.71.2
32.433.6
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End4.1
blue by 7.1
292
#13
38.80.6
37.538.2
Auto11.8
Teleop21.5
End5.6
Third
6012
#27
29.81.2
26.727.9
Auto5.5
Teleop19.1
End5.2
blue by 7.0
1529
#17
36.80.6
36.737.4
Auto9.7
Teleop22.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
25%Capture oddsEarned97%Capture oddsEarned