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Red99
101827.9
82928.4
393633.0
Blue113
217134.9
394033.6
44738.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9711640608014016018020099113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3936
#31
33.00.1
36.136.2
Auto7.4
Teleop21.2
End4.3
blue by 5.3
447
#23
38.30.2
37.137.3
Auto10.7
Teleop23.0
End4.5
Second
829
#19
28.40.1
30.630.8
Auto5.8
Teleop18.0
End4.6
blue by 6.5
34.90.2
36.436.6
Auto8.5
Teleop21.1
End5.4
Third
1018
#21
27.90.1
30.630.7
Auto7.3
Teleop16.8
End3.9
blue by 5.7
3940
#10
33.60.2
36.536.7
Auto9.1
Teleop18.9
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
85%Capture oddsEarned67%Capture oddsEarned