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Red125
219734.6
152936.8
23445.1
Blue113
29238.8
540337.6
458032.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12410980100140160180125113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#15
45.10.5
47.447.9
Auto14.1
Teleop24.8
End6.2
red by 6.2
292
#13
38.80.0
38.238.2
Auto11.8
Teleop21.5
End5.6
Second
1529
#17
36.80.5
37.437.8
Auto9.7
Teleop22.4
End4.7
blue by 0.8
5403
#24
37.60.0
36.736.7
Auto9.5
Teleop23.4
End4.7
Third
2197
#11
34.60.5
33.433.8
Auto4.8
Teleop17.6
End12.1
red by 2.1
4580
#20
32.40.0
33.033.0
Auto9.1
Teleop19.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
63%Capture oddsEarned89%Capture oddsEarned