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Red131
217134.9
174132.0
29238.8
Blue150
174741.8
317633.0
13548.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10513250150200131150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#13
38.81.3
37.338.7
Auto11.8
Teleop21.5
End5.6
blue by 9.6
135
#14
48.51.4
48.149.5
Auto10.8
Teleop28.7
End9.0
Second
34.91.3
33.634.9
Auto8.5
Teleop21.1
End5.4
blue by 6.9
41.81.4
43.745.1
Auto14.1
Teleop23.4
End4.3
Third
1741
#30
32.01.3
35.336.6
Auto7.1
Teleop21.0
End3.9
blue by 0.9
3176
#26
33.01.4
32.433.8
Auto9.6
Teleop15.0
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
77%Capture oddsEarned48%Capture oddsEarned