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Red153
174137.5
540333.9
548421.7
Blue171
394739.0
172036.6
219725.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11713180100140160180200153171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#22
37.50.4
37.738.1
Auto9.0
Teleop24.1
End4.5
blue by 1.4
3947
#12
39.00.4
38.939.3
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End8.3
Second
33.90.4
33.233.5
Auto10.1
Teleop18.1
End5.8
blue by 2.6
36.60.4
35.836.2
Auto8.4
Teleop23.7
End4.4
Third
5484
#28
21.70.4
20.420.8
Auto5.0
Teleop13.7
End3.0
blue by 3.5
2197
#14
25.20.4
23.924.3
Auto4.0
Teleop13.8
End7.3