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Red113
152935.3
548421.7
518821.3
Blue85
601227.7
355934.4
286722.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5883204010012014011385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.32.9
26.729.6
Auto9.8
Teleop21.0
End4.5
red by 0.9
3559
#20
34.40.5
36.136.6
Auto9.8
Teleop19.5
End5.1
Second
5484
#28
21.72.9
13.616.5
Auto5.0
Teleop13.7
End3.0
blue by 6.1
6012
#18
27.70.5
22.022.5
Auto3.6
Teleop17.7
End6.5
Third
5188
#25
21.32.9
19.722.6
Auto1.3
Teleop15.7
End4.4
blue by 1.2
2867
#33
22.60.5
19.219.7
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed