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Red122
540333.9
23443.7
13542.8
Blue101
348730.4
82925.1
394739.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11191406080100120140160180122101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#7
43.70.5
40.941.4
Auto14.6
Teleop24.9
End4.2
red by 4.7
3947
#12
39.00.3
37.738.0
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End8.3
Second
135
#10
42.80.5
37.337.7
Auto10.1
Teleop22.8
End10.0
red by 12.5
3487
#13
30.40.3
26.026.4
Auto9.0
Teleop16.4
End5.0
Third
33.90.5
26.927.4
Auto10.1
Teleop18.1
End5.8
red by 8.8
829
#29
25.10.3
27.427.7
Auto5.3
Teleop15.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsMissed77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned8%Capture oddsEarned