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Red88
478123.5
394739.0
101828.8
Blue138
393634.2
102452.1
13542.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81121406010014016088138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3947
#12
39.00.2
38.038.3
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End8.3
blue by 13.2
52.11.8
44.446.2
Auto10.1
Teleop36.6
End5.4
Second
28.80.2
26.126.4
Auto7.2
Teleop16.8
End4.8
blue by 14.1
135
#10
42.81.8
37.739.5
Auto10.1
Teleop22.8
End10.0
Third
4781
#23
23.50.2
20.220.4
Auto7.6
Teleop11.7
End4.3
blue by 10.7
3936
#11
34.21.8
29.331.1
Auto8.6
Teleop20.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsEarned