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Red118
458031.2
594429.9
13542.8
Blue85
150150.1
501017.9
236018.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1008020406012014016011885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#10
42.81.6
39.541.1
Auto10.1
Teleop22.8
End10.0
blue by 7.3
50.10.3
47.247.5
Auto16.0
Teleop27.1
End7.0
Second
4580
#15
31.21.6
28.229.8
Auto7.3
Teleop20.0
End3.9
red by 12.4
2360
#31
18.80.3
17.617.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.4
Third
5944
#19
29.91.6
26.428.0
Auto8.9
Teleop15.2
End5.7
red by 11.9
5010
#32
17.90.3
15.716.0
Auto3.2
Teleop11.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
9%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed