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Red61
548421.7
349422.6
219725.2
Blue101
478123.5
82925.1
174743.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6210120408012014061101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2197
#14
25.20.4
24.023.7
Auto4.0
Teleop13.8
End7.3
blue by 18.1
43.30.1
42.342.2
Auto12.9
Teleop25.4
End5.0
Second
3494
#27
22.60.4
23.423.0
Auto7.2
Teleop14.0
End1.3
blue by 2.5
829
#29
25.10.1
28.828.7
Auto5.3
Teleop15.3
End4.5
Third
5484
#28
21.70.4
18.918.5
Auto5.0
Teleop13.7
End3.0
blue by 1.8
4781
#23
23.50.1
21.521.4
Auto7.6
Teleop11.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsMissed85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed18%Capture oddsEarned