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Red115
601227.7
101828.8
219725.2
Blue100
4526.3
540333.9
355934.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71104406080120140160115100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.81.7
26.328.1
Auto7.2
Teleop16.8
End4.8
blue by 5.6
3559
#20
34.40.3
37.537.7
Auto9.8
Teleop19.5
End5.1
Second
6012
#18
27.71.7
23.825.6
Auto3.6
Teleop17.7
End6.5
blue by 6.2
33.90.3
31.031.3
Auto10.1
Teleop18.1
End5.8
Third
2197
#14
25.21.7
23.725.4
Auto4.0
Teleop13.8
End7.3
blue by 1.1
45
#24
26.30.3
27.427.7
Auto7.5
Teleop15.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsEarned12%Capture oddsEarned