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Red100
174743.3
548421.7
348730.4
Blue96
501017.9
101828.8
152935.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9776406012014016010096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.30.6
42.242.8
Auto12.9
Teleop25.4
End5.0
red by 8.0
35.30.9
31.832.8
Auto9.8
Teleop21.0
End4.5
Second
3487
#13
30.40.6
30.330.9
Auto9.0
Teleop16.4
End5.0
red by 1.6
28.80.9
28.129.0
Auto7.2
Teleop16.8
End4.8
Third
5484
#28
21.70.6
18.519.1
Auto5.0
Teleop13.7
End3.0
red by 3.7
5010
#32
17.90.9
17.018.0
Auto3.2
Teleop11.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
39%Capture oddsMissed27%Capture oddsEarned