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Red75
82925.1
594429.9
174137.5
Blue115
601227.7
13542.8
479124.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1019240608012014075115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#22
37.51.4
38.136.6
Auto9.0
Teleop24.1
End4.5
blue by 5.3
135
#10
42.81.6
41.943.6
Auto10.1
Teleop22.8
End10.0
Second
5944
#19
29.91.4
31.329.9
Auto8.9
Teleop15.2
End5.7
red by 2.1
6012
#18
27.71.6
26.327.9
Auto3.6
Teleop17.7
End6.5
Third
829
#29
25.11.4
27.325.9
Auto5.3
Teleop15.3
End4.5
red by 1.1
4791
#16
24.11.6
22.424.1
Auto8.7
Teleop12.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
39%Capture oddsMissed10%Capture oddsMissed