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Red81
501017.9
355934.4
174743.3
Blue130
348730.4
478123.5
150150.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102107608012014016081130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.31.3
44.943.7
Auto12.9
Teleop25.4
End5.0
blue by 6.8
50.10.8
50.351.0
Auto16.0
Teleop27.1
End7.0
Second
3559
#20
34.41.3
36.335.1
Auto9.8
Teleop19.5
End5.1
red by 4.0
3487
#13
30.40.8
30.331.1
Auto9.0
Teleop16.4
End5.0
Third
5010
#32
17.91.3
18.717.4
Auto3.2
Teleop11.9
End2.9
blue by 5.5
4781
#23
23.50.8
22.723.5
Auto7.6
Teleop11.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsMissed81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
40%Capture oddsMissed10%Capture oddsEarned