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Red195
150150.1
7144.9
82925.1
Blue113
174137.5
540333.9
548421.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17711050100150200250195113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.10.5
51.251.7
Auto16.0
Teleop27.1
End7.0
red by 12.6
1741
#22
37.50.0
37.437.4
Auto9.0
Teleop24.1
End4.5
Second
71
#1
44.90.5
46.046.5
Auto12.0
Teleop20.5
End12.4
red by 11.0
33.90.0
33.733.8
Auto10.1
Teleop18.1
End5.8
Third
829
#29
25.10.5
26.026.5
Auto5.3
Teleop15.3
End4.5
red by 3.5
5484
#28
21.70.0
21.521.5
Auto5.0
Teleop13.7
End3.0