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Red187
102445.4
86841.5
172034.6
Blue75
46132.4
498241.6
318024.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15611810020018775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.3
44.745.0
Auto6.3
Teleop33.5
End5.7
red by 3.7
41.60.6
42.341.8
Auto8.3
Teleop27.6
End5.8
Second
868
#1
41.50.3
40.841.1
Auto9.4
Teleop26.0
End6.1
red by 9.1
461
#8
32.40.6
33.232.6
Auto7.0
Teleop21.8
End3.6
Third
1720
#21
34.60.3
33.934.2
Auto9.7
Teleop22.3
End2.6
red by 10.0
3180
#23
24.70.6
25.424.8
Auto6.0
Teleop15.4
End3.2