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Red186
102445.4
86841.5
172034.6
Blue127
7136.4
458026.4
7434.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15311650100200186127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.5
43.844.3
Auto6.3
Teleop33.5
End5.7
red by 8.9
71
#14
36.40.2
36.236.4
Auto8.0
Teleop18.7
End9.7
Second
868
#1
41.50.5
39.940.5
Auto9.4
Teleop26.0
End6.1
red by 7.1
74
#17
34.50.3
34.234.5
Auto8.9
Teleop15.3
End10.3
Third
1720
#21
34.60.5
33.033.6
Auto9.7
Teleop22.3
End2.6
red by 8.3
4580
#11
26.40.2
26.126.4
Auto5.2
Teleop15.4
End5.8