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Red166
46132.4
498241.6
318024.7
Blue140
174137.8
217132.2
540225.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124124110120130140150160166140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.4
42.342.8
Auto8.3
Teleop27.6
End5.8
red by 3.9
1741
#12
37.80.0
38.238.2
Auto8.9
Teleop23.7
End5.2
Second
461
#8
32.40.4
33.133.6
Auto7.0
Teleop21.8
End3.6
red by 0.2
32.20.0
32.732.6
Auto9.1
Teleop17.6
End5.5
Third
3180
#23
24.70.4
25.325.8
Auto6.0
Teleop15.4
End3.2
blue by 0.9
5402
#15
25.60.0
26.026.0
Auto5.3
Teleop16.0
End4.3