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Red105
277139.3
86841.5
548413.4
Blue69
152925.3
44730.8
286715.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646830405060809010010569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#1
41.52.8
32.034.8
Auto9.4
Teleop26.0
End6.1
red by 10.8
447
#16
30.80.2
24.324.6
Auto10.5
Teleop16.1
End4.1
Second
39.34.7
20.024.7
Auto9.2
Teleop27.2
End3.0
red by 14.1
1529
#20
25.30.4
20.220.6
Auto9.2
Teleop13.7
End2.4
Third
5484
#31
13.43.5
10.714.1
Auto-1.1
Teleop13.0
End1.5
blue by 2.4
2867
#30
15.80.4
21.121.5
Auto3.4
Teleop10.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned53%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed