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Red45
164624.3
594424.2
286715.8
Blue80
102445.4
601221.2
101821.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65872040801001201404580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1646
#34
24.31.4
26.525.1
Auto9.0
Teleop12.9
End2.4
blue by 21.1
45.40.1
41.341.3
Auto6.3
Teleop33.5
End5.7
Second
5944
#24
24.22.3
18.115.8
Auto5.1
Teleop15.8
End3.3
red by 3.0
1018
#27
21.20.1
20.720.6
Auto3.7
Teleop15.2
End2.3
Third
2867
#30
15.82.3
21.519.1
Auto3.4
Teleop10.6
End1.8
blue by 5.4
6012
#18
21.20.1
18.918.8
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsMissed81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed