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Red102
318024.7
172034.6
86841.5
Blue91
348721.6
174739.9
290918.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85785060709010011010291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#1
41.51.0
34.835.8
Auto9.4
Teleop26.0
End6.1
red by 1.6
1747
#19
39.90.9
42.943.8
Auto12.9
Teleop23.1
End4.0
Second
1720
#21
34.61.7
26.528.2
Auto9.7
Teleop22.3
End2.6
red by 13.0
3487
#29
21.61.5
19.220.7
Auto7.8
Teleop10.8
End3.0
Third
3180
#23
24.71.0
20.321.3
Auto6.0
Teleop15.4
End3.2
red by 6.3
2909
#32
18.40.9
15.216.1
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed