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Red96
478119.2
174739.9
172034.6
Blue111
46132.4
152925.3
174137.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9478406010012014096111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#19
39.90.4
43.844.2
Auto12.9
Teleop23.1
End4.0
red by 2.1
1741
#12
37.81.8
30.432.3
Auto8.9
Teleop23.7
End5.2
Second
1720
#21
34.60.7
28.229.0
Auto9.7
Teleop22.3
End2.6
red by 2.2
461
#8
32.41.8
26.728.5
Auto7.0
Teleop21.8
End3.6
Third
4781
#36
19.20.7
17.318.1
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End2.6
blue by 6.1
1529
#20
25.33.0
21.524.5
Auto9.2
Teleop13.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned