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Red120
410337.4
101821.2
174739.9
Blue98
174137.8
478119.2
217132.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10874406010012014016012098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#19
39.91.0
44.245.2
Auto12.9
Teleop23.1
End4.0
red by 2.1
1741
#12
37.81.4
32.333.7
Auto8.9
Teleop23.7
End5.2
Second
37.41.0
34.035.1
Auto7.5
Teleop22.1
End7.7
red by 5.1
32.21.4
26.628.0
Auto9.1
Teleop17.6
End5.5
Third
1018
#27
21.21.7
21.323.0
Auto3.7
Teleop15.2
End2.3
red by 2.0
4781
#36
19.22.3
18.120.4
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed