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Red96
290918.4
594424.2
498241.6
Blue68
501014.1
174739.9
152925.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75952040601201409668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.61.3
38.940.2
Auto8.3
Teleop27.6
End5.8
red by 1.7
1747
#19
39.91.4
44.843.4
Auto12.9
Teleop23.1
End4.0
Second
5944
#24
24.22.1
21.823.8
Auto5.1
Teleop15.8
End3.3
blue by 1.1
1529
#20
25.32.2
26.924.6
Auto9.2
Teleop13.7
End2.4
Third
2909
#32
18.41.3
15.416.8
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End2.4
red by 4.3
5010
#33
14.12.4
17.715.3
Auto1.8
Teleop10.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed